Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 2.150695 2.461058 2.800926 3.200818 3.658614 4.166532 4.773116
2024-12-15 1.665185 2.082642 2.581941 3.223579 4.027147 5.001491 6.274694
2024-12-22 1.392011 1.851892 2.436707 3.235879 4.301477 5.676289 7.589782
2024-12-29 1.209439 1.692156 2.337512 3.264878 4.566529 6.333559 8.923766
2025-01-05 1.040788 1.520874 2.191027 3.196785 4.672553 6.766197 9.976273
2025-01-12 0.905706 1.375808 2.057803 3.121860 4.746429 7.143909 10.971030
2025-01-19 0.789611 1.242512 1.922995 3.022925 4.764189 7.428057 11.839942
2025-01-26 0.761111 1.238006 1.978533 3.216024 5.242989 8.450878 13.951570
2025-02-02 0.735176 1.233456 2.031405 3.407080 5.733546 9.534403 16.267999
2025-02-09 0.701344 1.211458 2.052365 3.545251 6.147037 10.526966 18.528881
2025-02-16 0.656491 1.165547 2.027951 3.601996 6.424301 11.311932 20.505180
2025-02-23 0.596900 1.087566 1.940529 3.538621 6.482072 11.717892 21.841317
2025-03-02 0.551420 1.031415 1.887913 3.535775 6.654762 12.355750 23.691684
2025-03-09 0.514886 0.988033 1.854089 3.564050 6.887866 13.126791 25.876860
2025-03-16 0.480265 0.944479 1.815194 3.577622 7.092115 13.859497 28.058731
2025-03-23 0.451421 0.909013 1.787780 3.609725 7.333761 14.683799 30.503795
2025-03-30 0.413069 0.850785 1.710513 3.534346 7.351313 15.064692 32.076898
2025-04-06 0.377842 0.795389 1.633521 3.451407 7.343805 15.391302 33.564883
2025-04-13 0.343472 0.738413 1.547973 3.341895 7.268671 15.568456 34.745257
2025-04-20 0.342800 0.752840 1.611398 3.555644 7.907763 17.314895 39.560724
2025-04-27 0.341274 0.765184 1.671323 3.767148 8.561939 19.154581 44.777508
2025-05-04 0.334373 0.764893 1.703743 3.920116 9.098856 20.784214 49.677784
2025-05-11 0.320555 0.747595 1.696987 3.982940 9.434227 21.988367 53.695914